Sport Picks

Czech Republic

3. MSFL 2025/2026 Stadium Nove Mesto

Hlucin

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nove Mesto na Morave play Hlucin in the 3. MSFL 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nove Mesto na Morave averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Hlucin averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, Nove Mesto na Morave won 0, Hlucin won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 12, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Nove Mesto na Morave and 1.31 for Hlucin. This points to a Nove Mesto na Morave double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Nove Mesto na Morave

15%

Draws

34%

Hlucin

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nove Mesto na Morave

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Nove Mesto na Morave picked up more points recently compared to Hlucin.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Nove Mesto na Morave Clean Sheet 18%

Hlucin Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nove Mesto na Morave	Hlucin
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	14	7
Draws	6	6
Losses	9	17
Goals Scored	1.93	1.3
Goals Conceded	1.41	2.17
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 3. MSFL

Nove Mesto na Morave vs Hlucin

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 4 - 0

1:2

Nov 7, 2025 3. MSFL

Hlucin vs Nove Mesto na Morave

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 4 - 1

3:0

May 24, 2023 3. MSFL

Nove Mesto na Morave vs Hlucin

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Aug 31, 2022 3. MSFL

Hlucin vs Nove Mesto na Morave

Possession: 40% - 48% Cards: 0 - 4

3:2

Mar 13, 2022 3. MSFL

Nove Mesto na Morave vs Hlucin

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nove Mesto na Morave Compare

Top Goalscorer Usman I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Hlucin Compare

Top Goalscorer Opeyemi M.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nove Mesto na Morave 50 / 100

Hlucin 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nove Mesto na Morave Hlucin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nove Mesto na Morave or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nove Mesto na Morave attacking → ← attacking Hlucin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nove Mesto na Morave scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Hlucin let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Nove Mesto na Morave went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hlucin lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 27

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trinec	34	23	7	4	75:27	76
2	Hodonin	34	21	7	6	77:39	70
3	Unicov	34	18	10	6	55:41	64
4	Brno B	34	20	4	10	70:47	64
5	Sigma Olomouc B	34	19	5	10	71:33	62
6	FK Frydek-Mistek	34	16	11	7	54:39	59
7	Nove Mesto na Morave	34	16	7	11	64:51	55
8	Hlubina	34	13	9	12	53:49	48
9	Vsetin	34	13	6	15	52:54	45
10	Vitkovice	34	12	7	15	51:56	43
11	Zlin B	34	11	10	13	57:64	43
12	Slovacko B	34	9	11	14	49:59	38
13	Polanka nad Odrou	34	9	8	17	37:62	35
14	FK Blansko	34	10	3	21	47:79	33
15	Karvina B	34	8	8	18	40:60	32
16	SK Hranice	34	7	9	18	38:61	30
17	Hlucin	34	7	7	20	41:73	28
18	TJ Start Brno	34	4	11	19	32:69	23