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Nove Mesto na Morave vs Karvina B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. MSFL Stadium Nove Mesto, Nove Mesto na Morave
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Match Events

31' Event
Jicha M.
61'
Fukala R.
61'
Sub
Novotny J. In: Dvorak M.
Out: Novotny J.

AI Match Summary

The 3. MSFL game between Nove Mesto na Morave and Karvina B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nove Mesto na Morave.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nove Mesto na Morave
20%
Draws
40%
Karvina B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Nove Mesto na Morave carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Karvina B a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. MSFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nove Mesto na Morave have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nove Mesto na Morave Clean Sheet 14%
Karvina B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nove Mesto na Morave Karvina B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.52 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 3. MSFL
Nove Mesto na Morave vs Karvina B
1:0
Apr 29, 2026 3. MSFL
Karvina B vs Nove Mesto na Morave
2:3
Nov 15, 2025 3. MSFL
Nove Mesto na Morave vs Karvina B
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nove Mesto na Morave Compare

Top Goalscorer Jicha M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Karvina B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nove Mesto na Morave 19 / 100
Karvina B 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nove Mesto na Morave Karvina B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karvina B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nove Mesto na Morave's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Karvina B conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Karvina B registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nove Mesto na Morave VS Karvina B
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nove Mesto na Morave

(Home)
10 Oct
Nove Mesto na Morave
0 : 4
Unicov
03 Oct
FK Frydek-Mistek
4 : 2
Nove Mesto na Morave
26 Sept
Nove Mesto na Morave
3 : 2
Hlubina
19 Sept
Vsetin
2 : 2
Nove Mesto na Morave
12 Sept
Nove Mesto na Morave
0 : 3
Brno B
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Karvina B

(Away)
10 Oct
Vitkovice
0 : 4
Karvina B
04 Oct
Karvina B
0 : 1
Zlin B
25 Sept
Karvina B
2 : 2
Artis Brno B
20 Sept
Karvina B
3 : 5
FK Blansko
13 Sept
Slovacko B
3 : 1
Karvina B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unicov 12 8 2 2 26:14 26
2 Artis Brno B 11 7 4 0 20:4 25
3 Brno B 11 7 2 2 24:16 23
4 FK Frydek-Mistek 12 6 3 3 19:13 21
5 SK Hranice 12 6 2 4 16:10 20
6 Sigma Olomouc B 12 6 1 5 20:16 19
7 Slovacko B 12 5 3 4 21:14 18
8 Hodonin 12 5 2 5 17:13 17
9 Vitkovice 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
10 Hlubina 12 4 3 5 28:27 15
11 Uhersky Brod 11 4 3 4 18:18 15
12 Zlin B 12 4 3 5 13:17 15
13 Karvina B 12 4 2 6 19:21 14
14 Nove Mesto na Morave 12 4 2 6 13:24 14
15 FK Blansko 12 2 5 5 18:28 11
16 Vsetin 12 3 1 8 11:26 10
17 Havirov 12 1 5 6 9:20 8
18 Polanka nad Odrou 11 1 3 7 7:17 6
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