Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nove Mesto na Morave vs TJ Start Brno

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. MSFL 2025/2026 Stadium Nove Mesto
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Bouchner D.
41' Event
Novak M.
46'
Sub
Novak M. In: Svanda T.
Out: Novak M.

AI Match Summary

Nove Mesto na Morave host TJ Start Brno in the 3. MSFL 2025/2026. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. TJ Start Brno have shipped 3 goals a game lately, while Nove Mesto na Morave have conceded 1.13 and scored 2.38. Head-to-head, Nove Mesto na Morave have won 3 to TJ Start Brno's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 6:0. The numbers (2.69 xG vs 1.06) point toward Nove Mesto na Morave. Nove Mesto na Morave in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nove Mesto na Morave
6%
Draws
4%
TJ Start Brno
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nove Mesto na Morave

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nove Mesto na Morave has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to TJ Start Brno.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Nove Mesto na Morave.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in 3. MSFL 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Nove Mesto na Morave Clean Sheet 68%
TJ Start Brno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nove Mesto na Morave TJ Start Brno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 2.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 3. MSFL
Nove Mesto na Morave vs TJ Start Brno
6:0
Oct 25, 2025 3. MSFL
TJ Start Brno vs Nove Mesto na Morave
1:5
Jul 27, 2019 MOL Cup
TJ Start Brno vs Nove Mesto na Morave
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nove Mesto na Morave Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouchner D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Novak M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

TJ Start Brno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nove Mesto na Morave 95 / 100
TJ Start Brno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nove Mesto na Morave TJ Start Brno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nove Mesto na Morave scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

TJ Start Brno let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Nove Mesto na Morave went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

TJ Start Brno lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nove Mesto na Morave VS TJ Start Brno
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trinec34237475:2776
2Hodonin34217677:3970
3Unicov341810655:4164
4Brno B342041070:4764
5Sigma Olomouc B341951071:3362
6FK Frydek-Mistek341611754:3959
7Nove Mesto na Morave341671164:5155
8Hlubina341391253:4948
9Vsetin341361552:5445
10Vitkovice341271551:5643
11Zlin B3411101357:6443
12Slovacko B349111449:5938
13Polanka nad Odrou34981737:6235
14FK Blansko341032147:7933
15Karvina B34881840:6032
16SK Hranice34791838:6130
17Hlucin34772041:7328
18TJ Start Brno344111932:6923