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Nove Sady vs Sumperk

Czech Republic Czech Republic

MOL Cup Nove Sady, Olomouc
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the MOL Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Nove Sady at 1.13 goals for, 2.75 against; Sumperk at 0.63 for, 1.88 against. Past meetings favor Sumperk slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 29, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.69) point toward Sumperk. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nove Sady
33%
Draws
27%
Sumperk
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nove Sady

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sumperk come out ahead of Nove Sady on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Nove Sady taking it.
  • Sumperk arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nove Sady, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Nove Sady Clean Sheet 13%
Sumperk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nove Sady Sumperk
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Sumperk vs Nove Sady
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 4. liga - Group E
Nove Sady vs Sumperk
2:1
Sep 1, 2024 4. liga - Group E
Sumperk vs Nove Sady
2:1
May 14, 2023 4. liga - Group E
Sumperk vs Nove Sady
3:2
Oct 1, 2022 4. liga - Group E
Nove Sady vs Sumperk
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nove Sady 39 / 100
Sumperk 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nove Sady Sumperk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Nove Sady has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Sumperk registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Nove Sady scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nove Sady VS Sumperk
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nove Sady

(Home)
13 Jun
Nove Sady
0 : 2
Skastice
05 Jun
Uhersky Brod
4 : 4
Nove Sady
02 Jun
Nove Sady
1 : 1
Lanzhot
29 May
Nove Sady
1 : 1
Slavicin
23 May
Holesov
4 : 0
Nove Sady
Page 1 of 7

Sumperk

(Away)
13 Jun
Vratimov FC
2 : 0
Sumperk
07 Jun
Sumperk
3 : 6
Bohumin
31 May
Zabreh
0 : 0
Sumperk
24 May
Sumperk
0 : 4
Rymarov
17 May
Pusta Polom
0 : 1
Sumperk
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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