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Nove Zamky vs Castkovce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovakia Slovakia

3. Liga - West
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nove Zamky host Castkovce in the 3. Liga - West. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Castkovce have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while Nove Zamky have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.7. Past meetings favor Nove Zamky slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.94) point toward Nove Zamky. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nove Zamky
20%
Draws
40%
Castkovce
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Nove Zamky have won more games recently than Castkovce.
  • Win probability leans Nove Zamky's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Nove Zamky Clean Sheet 10%
Castkovce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nove Zamky Castkovce
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.7 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 3. Liga - West
Nove Zamky vs Castkovce
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 3. Liga - West
Castkovce vs Nove Zamky
4:1
Mar 26, 2025 3. Liga - West
Nove Zamky vs Castkovce
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 3. Liga - West
Castkovce vs Nove Zamky
0:2
Apr 29, 2023 3. Liga - West
Castkovce vs Nove Zamky
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nove Zamky 34 / 100
Castkovce 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nove Zamky Castkovce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nove Zamky's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Castkovce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Difficult form: Castkovce registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nove Zamky VS Castkovce
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nove Zamky

(Home)
04 Oct
Belusa
0 : 0
Nove Zamky
26 Sept
Nove Zamky
2 : 5
Trencin B
19 Sept
Nove Zamky
1 : 5
Nitra
12 Sept
Velke Ludince
3 : 1
Nove Zamky
05 Sept
Nove Zamky
2 : 1
Myjava
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Castkovce

(Away)
09 Oct
Myjava
5 : 0
Castkovce
03 Oct
Castkovce
1 : 2
MSK Puchov
26 Sept
Dunajska Luzna
1 : 0
Castkovce
19 Sept
Castkovce
3 : 2
Komarno B
13 Sept
Castkovce
3 : 3
Raca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nitra 9 8 1 0 30:7 25
2 MSK Puchov 9 5 3 1 18:5 18
3 Myjava 10 5 3 2 18:11 18
4 Belusa 9 4 4 1 19:11 16
5 Dunajska Luzna 9 4 3 2 11:9 15
6 Gabcikovo 9 4 2 3 15:13 14
7 Trencin B 9 4 1 4 20:18 13
8 Banik Prievidza 9 4 0 5 15:15 12
9 Nove Zamky 9 3 3 3 11:16 12
10 Dun. Streda B 9 3 2 4 19:15 11
11 Raca 9 2 4 3 13:15 10
12 MSK Senec 9 3 0 6 8:17 9
13 Castkovce 10 2 2 6 17:25 8
14 Komarno B 9 2 2 5 10:23 8
15 Sala 9 1 3 5 8:17 6
16 Velke Ludince 9 1 3 5 12:27 6
Promotion - 2. liga 2027/2028 (Main)