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Stadium Background

Novelda CF vs Acero

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Novelda CF
35%
Draws
39%
Acero
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Acero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Acero have won more games recently than Novelda CF.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Acero taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 23%
Acero Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novelda CF Acero
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.04 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Acero
1:1
Apr 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Acero vs Novelda CF
3:2
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Acero vs Novelda CF
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Acero
2:0
Apr 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Acero vs Novelda CF
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novelda CF 24 / 100
Acero 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novelda CF Acero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novelda CF found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Acero let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Novelda CF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Acero
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Novelda CF

(Home)
06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1
Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3
Torrent
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Acero

(Away)
26 Sept
Espanol de San Vicente
1 : 1
Acero
19 Sept
Acero
2 : 0
SC Torrevieja
12 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Acero
05 Sept
Acero
0 : 1
Crevillente
21 Aug
Vall de Uxo
1 : 1
Acero
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