Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novelda CF vs Borriol

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2016/2017 game between Novelda CF and Borriol finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borriol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Novelda CF
30%
Draws
23%
Borriol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Novelda CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novelda CF come out ahead of Borriol on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 20%
Borriol Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novelda CF Borriol
Matches Played 35 34
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.09 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Borriol vs Novelda CF
0:1
Sep 3, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Borriol
1:1
Apr 2, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Borriol
0:1
Nov 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Borriol vs Novelda CF
3:1
Jan 9, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Borriol
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novelda CF 31 / 100
Borriol 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novelda CF Borriol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novelda CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borriol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 34 matches.

Novelda CF's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Borriol's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Novelda CF VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Novelda CF

(Home)
06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1
Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3
Torrent
Page 1 of 7

Borriol

(Away)
12 May
Borriol
3 : 3
Silla CF
06 May
Paiporta
5 : 3
Borriol
29 Apr
Borriol
1 : 2
Torre Levante
22 Apr
Levante B
4 : 2
Borriol
18 Apr
Castellon
1 : 1
Borriol
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpic Xativa 40 25 12 3 68:19 87
2 Alzira 40 23 11 6 61:25 80
3 Ontinyent 40 24 4 12 56:29 76
4 Castellon 40 22 10 8 65:31 76
5 Orihuela 40 19 14 7 62:31 71
6 Novelda CF 40 20 10 10 46:27 70
7 Villarreal C 40 19 12 9 67:47 69
8 Ilicitano 40 20 8 12 58:37 68
9 Torre Levante 40 18 7 15 58:50 61
10 Crevillente 40 15 13 12 39:37 58
11 Silla CF 40 14 9 17 51:57 51
12 Rayo Ibense 40 13 10 17 49:56 49
13 CD Almazora 40 11 15 14 43:48 48
14 Catarroja CF 40 11 13 16 33:44 46
15 Borriol 40 12 9 19 41:55 45
16 Paterna 40 9 16 15 35:60 43
17 CD Bunol 40 11 9 20 44:62 42
18 Muro 40 10 9 21 39:50 39
19 Torrevieja 40 10 5 25 38:71 35
20 Almoradi 40 6 9 25 32:77 27
21 CD Segorbe 40 2 7 31 22:94 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)