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Novelda CF vs Paterna Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 game between Novelda CF and Paterna finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novelda CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Novelda CF
15%
Draws
59%
Paterna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paterna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Novelda CF haven't matched Paterna's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Paterna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 20%
Paterna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novelda CF Paterna
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 12
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.04 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Paterna vs Novelda CF
2:0
Apr 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Paterna
2:1
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Paterna
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Paterna vs Novelda CF
2:2
May 5, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Paterna
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novelda CF 10 / 100
Paterna 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novelda CF Paterna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paterna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Novelda CF scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Paterna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Novelda CF remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Novelda CF VS Paterna
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Novelda CF

(Home)
06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1
Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3
Torrent
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Paterna

(Away)
06 Jun
Villajoyosa
1 : 5
Paterna
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
16 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Crevillente
08 May
Hercules B
1 : 0
Paterna
01 May
Paterna
0 : 1
Villajoyosa
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