Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novi Pazar vs Crvena zvezda

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Serbian Cup Gradski Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Novi Pazar play Crvena zvezda in the Mozzart Serbian Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Novi Pazar averaged 1 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Crvena zvezda averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Novi Pazar won 1, Crvena zvezda won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Novi Pazar and 1.63 for Crvena zvezda. This points to a Crvena zvezda double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Novi Pazar
44%
Draws
20%
Crvena zvezda
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Crvena zvezda has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Novi Pazar.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Mozzart Serbian Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 14%
Crvena zvezda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novi Pazar Crvena zvezda
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Crvena zvezda vs Novi Pazar
1:2
Mar 5, 2026 Mozzart Serbian Cup
Novi Pazar vs Crvena zvezda
0:2
Feb 7, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Crvena zvezda vs Novi Pazar
5:0
Aug 31, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Novi Pazar vs Crvena zvezda
1:5
May 17, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Novi Pazar vs Crvena zvezda
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novi Pazar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Crvena zvezda Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiknizyan N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Katai A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novi Pazar 35 / 100
Crvena zvezda 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novi Pazar Crvena zvezda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novi Pazar scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Crvena zvezda let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Novi Pazar went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Crvena zvezda lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novi Pazar VS Crvena zvezda
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Borac 1926-
TBD-
TBD-
Cukaricki-
FK Vozdovac-
TBD-
TBD-
Jedinstvo Ub-
Mokra Gora-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartak Subotica-
Zemun-
TBD-
TBD-
Radnicki 1923-
Naftagas2
Smederevo1
TBD-
Novi Pazar-
Dubocica-
TBD-
TBD-
Mladost Lucani-
Buducnost Dobanovci3
Indjija2
TBD-
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet-
Jedinstvo Krusevac2
Sloven Ruma5
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
Graficar Beograd-
TBD-
TBD-
TSC Backa Topola-
Koricani1
Sloboda2
TBD-
Radnicki Nis-
Macva Sabac-
TBD-
TBD-
Partizan-
Radnik Surdulica-
TBD-
TBD-
IMT Novi Beograd-
Vrsac-
TBD-
TBD-
Tekstilac Odzaci-
Mladost GAT-
TBD-
TBD-
Vojvodina-
Javor-
TBD-
TBD-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
Trayal Krusevac-
TBD-
TBD-
Napredak-
1/16-finals
Borac 19263
Cukaricki2
FK Vozdovac2
Jedinstvo Ub4
Mokra Gora0
Spartak Subotica2
Zemun2
Radnicki 19231
Naftagas0
Novi Pazar1
Dubocica2
Mladost Lucani1
Buducnost Dobanovci2
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet1
Sloven Ruma0
Crvena zvezda2
Graficar Beograd2
TSC Backa Topola0
Sloboda1
Radnicki Nis2
Macva Sabac2
Partizan0
Radnik Surdulica0
IMT Novi Beograd1
Vrsac1
Tekstilac Odzaci0
Mladost GAT-
Vojvodina-
Javor2
Zeleznicar Pancevo4
Trayal Krusevac3
Napredak0
1/8-finals
Borac 19261
Jedinstvo Ub2
Spartak Subotica1
Zemun2
Novi Pazar4
Dubocica3
Buducnost Dobanovci1
Crvena zvezda4
Graficar Beograd3
Radnicki Nis0
Macva Sabac2
IMT Novi Beograd1
Vrsac1
Vojvodina2
Zeleznicar Pancevo1
Trayal Krusevac2
Quarter-finals
Jedinstvo Ub3
Zemun2
Novi Pazar0
Crvena zvezda2
Graficar Beograd2
Macva Sabac1
Vojvodina2
Trayal Krusevac1
Semi-finals
Jedinstvo Ub1
Crvena zvezda2
Graficar Beograd1
Vojvodina2
Final
Crvena zvezda3
Vojvodina2