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Stadium Background

Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga Gradski Stadion, Novi Pazar
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Novi Pazar host IMT Novi Beograd in the Mozzart Bet Super Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. IMT Novi Beograd have shipped 0.76 goals a game lately, while Novi Pazar have conceded 1.54 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Novi Pazar slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 7, 2025, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 0.94) point toward IMT Novi Beograd. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Novi Pazar
35%
Draws
30%
IMT Novi Beograd
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and IMT Novi Beograd come out ahead of Novi Pazar on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 20%
IMT Novi Beograd Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novi Pazar IMT Novi Beograd
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
IMT Novi Beograd vs Novi Pazar
2:3
Aug 4, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd
1:2
Mar 28, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
IMT Novi Beograd vs Novi Pazar
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd
3:1
May 7, 2024 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
IMT Novi Beograd vs Novi Pazar
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novi Pazar 31 / 100
IMT Novi Beograd 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novi Pazar IMT Novi Beograd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novi Pazar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novi Pazar's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Novi Pazar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

IMT Novi Beograd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Novi Pazar VS IMT Novi Beograd
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Novi Pazar

(Home)
19 Sept
Novi Pazar
2 : 2
Zemun
12 Sept
Cukaricki
1 : 1
Novi Pazar
04 Sept
Novi Pazar
2 : 0
Zeleznicar Pancevo
29 Aug
Novi Pazar
1 : 1
Macva Sabac
23 Aug
Radnik Surdulica
1 : 0
Novi Pazar
Page 1 of 6

IMT Novi Beograd

(Away)
19 Sept
Vojvodina
1 : 1
IMT Novi Beograd
13 Sept
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 1
Crvena zvezda
07 Sept
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet
1 : 1
IMT Novi Beograd
30 Aug
IMT Novi Beograd
2 : 0
Mladost Lucani
22 Aug
Radnicki 1923
2 : 1
IMT Novi Beograd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crvena zvezda 10 9 1 0 24:3 28
2 Vojvodina 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
3 Radnicki 1923 9 5 2 2 17:9 17
4 Mladost Lucani 10 4 4 2 10:12 16
5 IMT Novi Beograd 10 4 3 3 12:7 15
6 Zeleznicar Pancevo 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
7 Radnik Surdulica 10 3 5 2 14:15 14
8 Novi Pazar 10 3 4 3 10:11 13
9 Cukaricki 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
10 OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet 10 2 3 5 13:21 9
11 Partizan 9 2 2 5 17:19 8
12 Radnicki Nis 9 2 2 5 6:11 8
13 Macva Sabac 10 2 2 6 6:17 8
14 Zemun 10 0 3 7 6:19 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group)