Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novi Pazar vs Macva Sabac

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga Gradski Stadion, Novi Pazar
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Vrastanovic B.
30'
Vidakov M.
46'
Sub
Robert J. In: Johnson Agwom D.
Out: Robert J.

AI Match Summary

The Mozzart Bet Super Liga game between Novi Pazar and Macva Sabac finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Novi Pazar
35%
Draws
30%
Macva Sabac
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Macva Sabac come out ahead of Novi Pazar on wins alone.
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 25%
Macva Sabac Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novi Pazar Macva Sabac
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.07 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Novi Pazar vs Macva Sabac
1:1
Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Macva Sabac vs Novi Pazar
2:1
Feb 27, 2021 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Novi Pazar vs Macva Sabac
4:0
Aug 23, 2020 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Macva Sabac vs Novi Pazar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novi Pazar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Macva Sabac Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidakov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novi Pazar 37 / 100
Macva Sabac 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novi Pazar Macva Sabac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macva Sabac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novi Pazar found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Novi Pazar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Macva Sabac conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Novi Pazar VS Macva Sabac
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Novi Pazar

(Home)
19 Sept
Novi Pazar
2 : 2
Zemun
12 Sept
Cukaricki
1 : 1
Novi Pazar
04 Sept
Novi Pazar
2 : 0
Zeleznicar Pancevo
29 Aug
Novi Pazar
1 : 1
Macva Sabac
23 Aug
Radnik Surdulica
1 : 0
Novi Pazar
Page 1 of 6

Macva Sabac

(Away)
11 Sept
Zeleznicar Pancevo
2 : 0
Macva Sabac
05 Sept
Macva Sabac
0 : 0
Radnicki 1923
29 Aug
Novi Pazar
1 : 1
Macva Sabac
22 Aug
Macva Sabac
1 : 0
Radnicki Nis
15 Aug
Radnik Surdulica
2 : 1
Macva Sabac
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crvena zvezda 10 9 1 0 24:3 28
2 Vojvodina 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
3 Radnicki 1923 9 5 2 2 17:9 17
4 Mladost Lucani 10 4 4 2 10:12 16
5 IMT Novi Beograd 10 4 3 3 12:7 15
6 Zeleznicar Pancevo 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
7 Radnik Surdulica 10 3 5 2 14:15 14
8 Novi Pazar 10 3 4 3 10:11 13
9 Cukaricki 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
10 OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet 10 2 3 5 13:21 9
11 Partizan 9 2 2 5 17:19 8
12 Radnicki Nis 9 2 2 5 6:11 8
13 Macva Sabac 10 2 2 6 6:17 8
14 Zemun 10 0 3 7 6:19 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group)