Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga Gradski Stadion, Novi Pazar
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Novi Pazar host Mladost Lucani in the Mozzart Bet Super Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Novi Pazar have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Mladost Lucani's 1.22 scored and 1.07 conceded. Past meetings favor Novi Pazar slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.00) point toward Mladost Lucani. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Novi Pazar
30%
Draws
29%
Mladost Lucani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Novi Pazar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mladost Lucani lately — more wins on the board than Novi Pazar.
  • Model gives Novi Pazar a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 20%
Mladost Lucani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novi Pazar Mladost Lucani
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 6 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.07 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Mladost Lucani vs Novi Pazar
0:0
Jun 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Mladost Lucani vs Novi Pazar
3:1
Mar 9, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Mladost Lucani vs Novi Pazar
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani
1:0
Jul 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novi Pazar 85 / 100
Mladost Lucani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novi Pazar Mladost Lucani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novi Pazar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novi Pazar's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Mladost Lucani has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Novi Pazar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Novi Pazar VS Mladost Lucani
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Novi Pazar

(Home)
28 Oct
FK Vozdovac
1 : 3
Novi Pazar
23 Oct
Radnicki Nis
0 : 2
Novi Pazar
18 Oct
Novi Pazar
1 : 2
IMT Novi Beograd
11 Oct
Partizan
1 : 0
Novi Pazar
19 Sept
Novi Pazar
2 : 2
Zemun
Page 1 of 6

Mladost Lucani

(Away)
28 Oct
Teleoptik
2 : 1
Mladost Lucani
24 Oct
Mladost Lucani
1 : 1
Vojvodina
18 Oct
Crvena zvezda
5 : 1
Mladost Lucani
12 Oct
Mladost Lucani
0 : 0
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet
20 Sept
Macva Sabac
1 : 2
Mladost Lucani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crvena zvezda 13 12 1 0 33:4 37
2 Vojvodina 13 9 2 2 28:12 29
3 Zeleznicar Pancevo 13 8 2 3 21:11 26
4 IMT Novi Beograd 13 6 3 4 15:9 21
5 Radnicki 1923 13 6 2 5 19:16 20
6 Cukaricki 13 5 3 5 19:20 18
7 Mladost Lucani 13 4 6 3 12:18 18
8 Radnik Surdulica 13 4 5 4 17:17 17
9 Novi Pazar 13 4 4 5 13:14 16
10 Partizan 13 4 2 7 21:24 14
11 OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet 13 2 5 6 14:23 11
12 Macva Sabac 13 2 4 7 9:21 10
13 Radnicki Nis 13 2 2 9 9:23 8
14 Zemun 13 1 3 9 7:25 6
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group)