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Novigrad vs Vinodol Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Novigrad Logo

Novigrad

3 - 4
FT
Vinodol Logo

Vinodol

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vinodol in this 3. HNL West matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vinodol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Novigrad
30%
Draws
54%
Vinodol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vinodol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Novigrad lately — more wins on the board than Vinodol.
  • Model gives Vinodol a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. HNL West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Novigrad Clean Sheet 11%
Vinodol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novigrad Vinodol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2022 3. HNL West
Novigrad vs Vinodol
3:4
Nov 20, 2021 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Novigrad
0:3
Apr 24, 2021 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Novigrad
1:1
Oct 10, 2020 3. HNL West
Novigrad vs Vinodol
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novigrad 22 / 100
Vinodol 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novigrad Vinodol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vinodol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vinodol let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Novigrad's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Novigrad stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novigrad VS Vinodol
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Novigrad

(Home)
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Jadran Porec
0 : 0
Novigrad
14 May
Novigrad
2 : 3
Rudar Labin
07 May
Krk
4 : 1
Novigrad
30 Apr
Novigrad
3 : 3
Grobnican
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Vinodol

(Away)
29 Jul
Vinodol
0 : 1
Grobnican
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Vinodol
0 : 1
Crikvenica
14 May
Uljanik Pula
3 : 3
Vinodol
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)