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Novo Esporte vs Essube

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Igor Lemos
49' Event
Rikelmmer

AI Match Summary

Novo Esporte in this Mineiro 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novo Esporte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Novo Esporte
6%
Draws
4%
Essube
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Novo Esporte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Novo Esporte lately — more wins on the board than Essube.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Novo Esporte taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Novo Esporte Clean Sheet 20%
Essube Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novo Esporte Essube
Matches Played 22 20
Wins 10 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Mineiro 3
Novo Esporte vs Essube
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novo Esporte Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor Lemos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rikelmmer
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Essube Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novo Esporte 85 / 100
Essube 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novo Esporte Essube

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Essube let in goals in 80% of their last 20 matches.

Essube's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Novo Esporte scored in 68% of their last 22 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Novo Esporte VS Essube
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coimbra Esporte Clube541010:313
2Boa532011:411
3Paracatu52216:48
4Novo Esporte52125:57
5Tupi-MG51044:113
6Essube50051:100