Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Novo Esporte play Serranense in the Mineiro 3 2025. Novo Esporte are favorites here. Recently, Novo Esporte averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded. Serranense averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, Novo Esporte won 1, Serranense won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 20, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Novo Esporte and 0.56 for Serranense. This points to a Novo Esporte double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Novo Esporte picked up more points recently compared to Serranense.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 0.56 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Novo Esporte | Serranense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 22 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 2.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Novo Esporte Compare
Serranense Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Novo Esporte scored in 68% of their last 22 games.
Serranense let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Novo Esporte went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Serranense lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tupi-MG | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 2 | Coimbra Esporte Clube | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | 11 |
| 3 | Novo Esporte | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Inter de Minas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 5 | Boston City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 6 | Uniao Luziense | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 7 | Serranense | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:16 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boa | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Paracatu | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 3 | Juventus Minasnovense | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 4 | Essube | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 5 | Passos | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 6 | Nacional Uberaba | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |