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Novo Hamburgo U20 vs Gremio U20

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho U20
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Lima de Oliveira A.

AI Match Summary

Novo Hamburgo U20 host Gremio U20 in the Gaucho U20. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Novo Hamburgo U20 have averaged 0.5 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Gremio U20's 1.75 scored and 1.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Gremio U20 slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 5, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.88, favoring Gremio U20. Gremio U20 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Novo Hamburgo U20
39%
Draws
30%
Gremio U20
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Gremio U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Novo Hamburgo U20.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Gaucho U20 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Novo Hamburgo U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Gremio U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novo Hamburgo U20 Gremio U20
Matches Played 22 38
Wins 7 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Gaucho U20
Gremio U20 vs Novo Hamburgo U20
0:0
May 31, 2026 Gaucho U20
Novo Hamburgo U20 vs Gremio U20
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 Gaucho U20
Gremio U20 vs Novo Hamburgo U20
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novo Hamburgo U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Gremio U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima de Oliveira A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novo Hamburgo U20 30 / 100
Gremio U20 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novo Hamburgo U20 Gremio U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novo Hamburgo U20 scored in 59% of their last 22 games.

Gremio U20 let in goals in 61% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Novo Hamburgo U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gremio U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novo Hamburgo U20 VS Gremio U20
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Internacional U205
Sao Luiz U200
Gremio U201
Novo Hamburgo U200
EC Juventude U209
SER Caxias do Sul U202
Ypiranga FC U201
EC Sao Jose (PA) U206
Semi-finals
Internacional U205
Gremio U202
EC Juventude U203
EC Sao Jose (PA) U202
Final
Internacional U202
EC Juventude U201