Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novo Hamburgo U20 vs Gremio U20

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho U20
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Lima de Oliveira A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Novo Hamburgo U20
30%
Draws
52%
Gremio U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gremio U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gremio U20 lately — more wins on the board than Novo Hamburgo U20.
  • Model gives Gremio U20 a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Gremio U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gremio U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Gremio U20 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Novo Hamburgo U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Gremio U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novo Hamburgo U20 Gremio U20
Matches Played 22 42
Wins 7 21
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 0.95 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Gaucho U20
Gremio U20 vs Novo Hamburgo U20
0:0
May 31, 2026 Gaucho U20
Novo Hamburgo U20 vs Gremio U20
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 Gaucho U20
Gremio U20 vs Novo Hamburgo U20
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novo Hamburgo U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Gremio U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima de Oliveira A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novo Hamburgo U20 10 / 100
Gremio U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novo Hamburgo U20 Gremio U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio U20 let in goals in 60% of their last 42 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Novo Hamburgo U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Novo Hamburgo U20 scored in 59% of their last 22 games.

Scoring Trends

Novo Hamburgo U20 VS Gremio U20
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Novo Hamburgo U20

(Home)
05 Jun
Gremio U20
0 : 0
Novo Hamburgo U20
31 May
Novo Hamburgo U20
0 : 1
Gremio U20
24 May
Internacional U20
5 : 0
Novo Hamburgo U20
03 May
Novo Hamburgo U20
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC U20
18 Apr
SC Gaucho U20
1 : 1
Novo Hamburgo U20
Page 1 of 5

Gremio U20

(Away)
08 Sept
Gremio U20
5 : 0
Real SC U20
01 Jul
Criciuma U20
3 : 2
Gremio U20
27 Jun
Internacional U20
4 : 2
Gremio U20
23 Jun
Gremio U20
4 : 0
Bahia U20
20 Jun
Gremio U20
2 : 1
Fortaleza U20
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Internacional U20 5
Sao Luiz U20 0
Gremio U20 1
Novo Hamburgo U20 0
EC Juventude U20 9
SER Caxias do Sul U20 2
Ypiranga FC U20 1
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 6
Semi-finals
Internacional U20 5
Gremio U20 2
EC Juventude U20 3
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 2
Final
Internacional U20 2
EC Juventude U20 1