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Novo Hamburgo U20 vs SER Caxias do Sul U20

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Gaucho U20
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AI Match Summary

The Gaucho U20 game between Novo Hamburgo U20 and SER Caxias do Sul U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novo Hamburgo U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Novo Hamburgo U20
28%
Draws
22%
SER Caxias do Sul U20
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Novo Hamburgo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novo Hamburgo U20 come out ahead of SER Caxias do Sul U20 on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Novo Hamburgo U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Novo Hamburgo U20 Clean Sheet 20%
SER Caxias do Sul U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novo Hamburgo U20 SER Caxias do Sul U20
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 7 4
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Gaucho U20
Novo Hamburgo U20 vs SER Caxias do Sul U20
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novo Hamburgo U20 49 / 100
SER Caxias do Sul U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novo Hamburgo U20 SER Caxias do Sul U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SER Caxias do Sul U20 conceded in 95% of 22 recent games.

Recent resilience: Novo Hamburgo U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

SER Caxias do Sul U20's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Novo Hamburgo U20 found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (22 games).

Scoring Trends

Novo Hamburgo U20 VS SER Caxias do Sul U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional U20650116:315
2Ypiranga FC U20632112:611
3Novo Hamburgo U20632110:911
4SER Caxias do Sul U2062138:87
5Esportivo Bento Goncalves U2061235:125
6SC Gaucho U2060425:94
7Apafut U2061145:144
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EC Juventude U20751114:516
2Gremio U20743015:515
3EC Sao Jose (PA) U20731311:810
4Sao Luiz U2073136:810
5SC Ivoti U2073045:79
6Brasil de Farroupilha U2072144:87
7Real SC U2072148:147
8Inter Santa Maria U2071246:145