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Novo Hamburgo vs Aimore Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Matheus Batista
(Penalty)
54' Event
Ze Andrade
66' Event
Maicon Silva

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Novo Hamburgo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Novo Hamburgo
35%
Draws
30%
Aimore
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Novo Hamburgo's 1.28 goals per match outpaces what Aimore have produced (0.97).
  • Win probability leans Novo Hamburgo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Novo Hamburgo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Novo Hamburgo Clean Sheet 68%
Aimore Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novo Hamburgo Aimore
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.28 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 Gaucho 2
Aimore vs Novo Hamburgo
0:0
Aug 10, 2025 Gaucho 2
Novo Hamburgo vs Aimore
3:1
Jul 12, 2025 Gaucho 2
Novo Hamburgo vs Aimore
0:0
Jul 2, 2023 Serie D
Novo Hamburgo vs Aimore
4:1
May 28, 2023 Serie D
Aimore vs Novo Hamburgo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novo Hamburgo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ze Andrade
1 Goals
Assists Leader Allison
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Aimore Compare

Top Goalscorer Maicon Silva
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novo Hamburgo 50 / 100
Aimore 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novo Hamburgo Aimore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novo Hamburgo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Novo Hamburgo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Novo Hamburgo scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Aimore conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Novo Hamburgo VS Aimore
1.2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.2 Goals Conceded 0.75
60% Over 1.5 50%
40% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Novo Hamburgo

(Home)
06 Mar
Novo Hamburgo
1 : 1
Sao Luiz
02 Mar
Sao Luiz
1 : 0
Novo Hamburgo
22 Feb
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 2
Novo Hamburgo
14 Feb
Novo Hamburgo
3 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA)
07 Feb
Gremio
1 : 0
Novo Hamburgo
Page 1 of 6

Aimore

(Away)
27 Sept
Aimore
1 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
23 Sept
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
2 : 0
Aimore
19 Sept
Aimore
2 : 0
Lajeadense
16 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Aimore
13 Sept
Aimore
1 : 1
Passo Fundo
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Inter Santa Maria 2
GE Bage 0
Passo Fundo 3
Veranopolis 4
Aimore 3
Lajeadense 0
Novo Hamburgo 5
Gramadense 1
Semi-finals
Inter Santa Maria 3
Veranopolis 1
Aimore 1
Novo Hamburgo 3
Final
Inter Santa Maria 2
Novo Hamburgo 3