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Novo Hamburgo vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Novo Hamburgo play Esportivo Bento Goncalves in the Gaucho 2 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Novo Hamburgo averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded. Esportivo Bento Goncalves averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Novo Hamburgo won 4, Esportivo Bento Goncalves won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 16, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Novo Hamburgo and 1.13 for Esportivo Bento Goncalves. This points to a Novo Hamburgo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Novo Hamburgo
30%
Draws
34%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Novo Hamburgo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Novo Hamburgo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Esportivo Bento Goncalves.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Novo Hamburgo.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Gaucho 2 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Novo Hamburgo Clean Sheet 68%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novo Hamburgo Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2025 Gaucho 2
Novo Hamburgo vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2:1
Feb 11, 2023 Gaucho
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Novo Hamburgo
0:0
Mar 29, 2021 Gaucho
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Novo Hamburgo
1:2
Mar 8, 2020 Gaucho
Novo Hamburgo vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2:1
Feb 2, 2014 Gaucho
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Novo Hamburgo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novo Hamburgo Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Batista
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Esportivo Bento Goncalves Compare

Top Goalscorer Janderson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novo Hamburgo 46 / 100
Esportivo Bento Goncalves 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novo Hamburgo Esportivo Bento Goncalves

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novo Hamburgo scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Esportivo Bento Goncalves let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Novo Hamburgo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Esportivo Bento Goncalves lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novo Hamburgo VS Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aimore1494116:531
2Inter Santa Maria1485116:729
3Passo Fundo1476120:1227
4Novo Hamburgo1473417:824
5Gramadense1466213:924
6Veranopolis1465317:923
7GE Bage145639:521
8Lajeadense1456313:1421
9Santa Cruz RS1446412:1118
10Brasil de Farroupilha1443715:2015
11GE Gloria142758:1313
12Esportivo Bento Goncalves1432912:2111
13Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol141766:1610
14SC Gaucho1423915:209
15Real SC1403114:233
16Futvida00000:00