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Novo Horizonte vs America GO

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Novo Horizonte play America GO in the Goiano 2 2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Novo Horizonte averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. America GO averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. In past meetings, Novo Horizonte won 3, America GO won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Aug 15, 2018 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Novo Horizonte and 0.86 for America GO. This points to a Novo Horizonte double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Novo Horizonte
35%
Draws
28%
America GO
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Novo Horizonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Novo Horizonte picked up more points recently compared to America GO.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Novo Horizonte Clean Sheet 25%
America GO Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novo Horizonte America GO
Matches Played 33 37
Wins 12 11
Draws 12 15
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.39 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.22

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2018 Goiano 2
Novo Horizonte vs America GO
0:0
Aug 9, 2018 Goiano 2
America GO vs Novo Horizonte
2:4
Jul 2, 2017 Goiano 2
Novo Horizonte vs America GO
1:1
Jun 4, 2017 Goiano 2
America GO vs Novo Horizonte
1:2
Aug 21, 2016 Goiano 2
Novo Horizonte vs America GO
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novo Horizonte 38 / 100
America GO 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novo Horizonte America GO

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Novo Horizonte or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Novo Horizonte attacking → ← attacking America GO

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novo Horizonte scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

America GO let in goals in 70% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Novo Horizonte went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

America GO lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 48
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Verde860213:318
2Ipora84229:614
3Santa Helena841312:613
4Goiania82159:137
5Mineiros82068:236
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Itumbiara870117:721
2Caldas Novas841310:1213
3America GO83058:129
4Novo Horizonte82249:128
5Morrinhos81349:106