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Novo Horizonte vs Anapolis

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Goiano 2 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Novo Horizonte play Anapolis in the Goiano 2 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Novo Horizonte averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Anapolis averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Novo Horizonte won 0, Anapolis won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2015 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Novo Horizonte and 1.30 for Anapolis. This points to a Anapolis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Novo Horizonte
19%
Draws
43%
Anapolis
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Anapolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Novo Horizonte picked up more points recently compared to Anapolis.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Novo Horizonte Clean Sheet 19%
Anapolis Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novo Horizonte Anapolis
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 11 12
Draws 12 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.29 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2015 Goiano 2
Novo Horizonte vs Anapolis
0:1
Feb 24, 2015 Goiano 2
Anapolis vs Novo Horizonte
2:0
Mar 8, 2008 Goiano
Anapolis vs Novo Horizonte
5:0
Feb 2, 2008 Goiano
Novo Horizonte vs Anapolis
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novo Horizonte 38 / 100
Anapolis 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novo Horizonte Anapolis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Anapolis or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Novo Horizonte attacking → ← attacking Anapolis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novo Horizonte scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

Anapolis let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Novo Horizonte went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Anapolis lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 42
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vila Nova FC862017:520
2Anapolis840414:1012
3America GO83149:910
4Novo Horizonte83146:710
5Itaberai82065:206
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ipora851213:616
2Goiania851211:916
3Santa Helena83329:612
4Rio Verde82337:129
5EC Quirinopolis80265:122