Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novoperario vs Aquidauanense

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Gibran J.
70'
Colman L.
90' Event
Paulao

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sul-Matogrossense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Novoperario
20%
Draws
60%
Aquidauanense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aquidauanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Aquidauanense have won more games recently than Novoperario.
  • Model gives Aquidauanense a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Novoperario Clean Sheet 17%
Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novoperario Aquidauanense
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 6 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Novoperario
2:0
Jan 28, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Novoperario vs Aquidauanense
1:1
Mar 1, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Novoperario vs Aquidauanense
3:0
Jan 28, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Novoperario
1:0
Apr 7, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Novoperario vs Aquidauanense
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novoperario Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibran J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Aquidauanense Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novoperario 15 / 100
Aquidauanense 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novoperario Aquidauanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquidauanense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aquidauanense let in goals in 66% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Novoperario remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Novoperario's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aquidauanense
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Novoperario

(Home)
02 Mar
Novoperario
0 : 0
Dourados
24 Feb
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Novoperario
21 Feb
Novoperario
1 : 1
Corumbaense
17 Feb
Novoperario
3 : 2
Ivinhema
04 Feb
Dourados
2 : 1
Novoperario
Page 1 of 6

Aquidauanense

(Away)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
26 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Aquidauanense
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
7 de Setembro
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario MS 8 6 2 0 14:3 20
2 Coxim 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
3 Pantanal 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
4 Costa Rica 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
5 Nautico MS 8 0 0 8 6:21 0
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
2 Aquidauanense 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
3 Corumbaense 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
4 Ivinhema 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
5 Novoperario 8 1 3 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)