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Novoperario vs Dourados Prediction & H2H Stats

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Sul-Matogrossense 2024
Novoperario Logo

Novoperario

0 - 0
FT
Dourados Logo

Dourados

Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2024 game between Novoperario and Dourados finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Novoperario
35%
Draws
32%
Dourados
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dourados come out ahead of Novoperario on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Novoperario taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Dourados here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Novoperario Clean Sheet 18%
Dourados Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novoperario Dourados
Matches Played 29 41
Wins 6 19
Draws 6 13
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.51
Goals Conceded 2.24 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Novoperario vs Dourados
0:0
Feb 4, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Dourados vs Novoperario
2:1
Mar 11, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Novoperario vs Dourados
0:1
Feb 12, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Dourados vs Novoperario
2:0
Apr 4, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Dourados vs Novoperario
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novoperario 36 / 100
Dourados 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novoperario Dourados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Novoperario remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Novoperario scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Dourados conceded in 59% of 41 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dourados
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Novoperario

(Home)
02 Mar
Novoperario
0 : 0
Dourados
24 Feb
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Novoperario
21 Feb
Novoperario
1 : 1
Corumbaense
17 Feb
Novoperario
3 : 2
Ivinhema
04 Feb
Dourados
2 : 1
Novoperario
Page 1 of 6

Dourados

(Away)
11 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
08 Mar
Dourados
1 : 1
Corumbaense
01 Mar
Dourados
3 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
21 Feb
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
15 Feb
Dourados
7 : 2
Bataguassu
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario MS 8 6 2 0 14:3 20
2 Coxim 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
3 Pantanal 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
4 Costa Rica 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
5 Nautico MS 8 0 0 8 6:21 0
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
2 Aquidauanense 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
3 Corumbaense 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
4 Ivinhema 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
5 Novoperario 8 1 3 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)