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Novorizontino vs Americo EC Prediction & H2H Stats

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Paulista A4 2012 Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte
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AI Match Summary

Novorizontino in this Paulista A4 2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novorizontino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Novorizontino
35%
Draws
18%
Americo EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Novorizontino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Novorizontino have won more games recently than Americo EC.
  • Model gives Novorizontino a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 20%
Americo EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novorizontino Americo EC
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 10 12
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.58 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2012 Paulista A4
Novorizontino vs Americo EC
1:0
Aug 12, 2012 Paulista A4
Americo EC vs Novorizontino
0:0
Jul 29, 2012 Paulista A4
Americo EC vs Novorizontino
0:0
Jul 22, 2012 Paulista A4
Novorizontino vs Americo EC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novorizontino 85 / 100
Americo EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novorizontino Americo EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novorizontino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novorizontino scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Americo EC has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Novorizontino remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Novorizontino VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Novorizontino

(Home)
02 Oct
Novorizontino
3 : 0
Goias
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0
Sao Bernardo
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
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Americo EC

(Away)
18 Aug
Americo EC
2 : 2
Tupa
14 Aug
Cotia
3 : 2
Americo EC
10 Aug
Lemense
1 : 1
Americo EC
03 Aug
Americo EC
1 : 3
Lemense
31 Jul
Americo EC
1 : 1
Cotia
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Barueri 6 2 3 1 6:7 9
2 Votuporanguense 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
3 Nacional SP 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
4 SKA Brasil 6 1 2 3 6:7 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jacarei FC 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Fernandopolis 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
3 Mauaense 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
4 Sumare 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
2 Jose Bonifacio EC 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Americo EC 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
4 Guaruja 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Vicente 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
2 Tupa 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 Olimpia FC 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
4 Jaboticabal Atletico 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)