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Novorizontino vs Fortaleza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
07:10 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Novorizontino host Fortaleza in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Novorizontino at 1.87 goals for, 0.87 against; Fortaleza at 1.17 for, 0.97 against. Head-to-head, Novorizontino have won 0 to Fortaleza's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.13) point toward Novorizontino. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Novorizontino
35%
Draws
27%
Fortaleza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Novorizontino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novorizontino come out ahead of Fortaleza on wins alone.
  • Novorizontino are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%
Fortaleza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novorizontino Fortaleza
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 17 14
Draws 7 12
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.87 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Serie B
Fortaleza vs Novorizontino
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novorizontino 77 / 100
Fortaleza 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novorizontino Fortaleza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novorizontino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novorizontino's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Novorizontino has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Fortaleza let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Novorizontino VS Fortaleza
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Novorizontino

(Home)
01 Nov
Novorizontino
2 : 1
Operario-PR
24 Oct
Atletico GO
0 : 1
Novorizontino
18 Oct
Vila Nova FC
2 : 2
Novorizontino
12 Oct
Novorizontino
5 : 1
Ponte Preta
08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2
Novorizontino
Page 1 of 6

Fortaleza

(Away)
02 Nov
Fortaleza
0 : 0
Atletico GO
24 Oct
Ponte Preta
2 : 2
Fortaleza
16 Oct
Sport Recife
0 : 2
Fortaleza
12 Oct
Fortaleza
2 : 2
CRB
07 Oct
America MG
0 : 1
Fortaleza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 36 16 14 6 43:31 62
6 CRB 36 16 7 13 54:51 55
7 Goias 36 16 7 13 38:41 55
8 Sport Recife 36 14 13 9 48:39 55
9 Atletico GO 36 14 13 9 42:33 55
10 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
11 Operario-PR 36 14 9 13 46:48 51
12 Botafogo SP 36 13 9 14 41:39 48
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Athletic Club 36 11 14 11 42:41 47
15 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
16 Ceara 36 11 10 15 38:46 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 36 8 8 20 45:54 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)