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Novorizontino vs Goias - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Romulo
Assist: Reidiney
43' Event
Tadeu
Penalty Missed
58'
Sub
Silva D. In: Danilo Cunha
Out: Silva D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Novorizontino and Goias finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novorizontino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Novorizontino
20%
Draws
40%
Goias
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Goias haven't matched Novorizontino's recent run of results.
  • Novorizontino are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%
Goias Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novorizontino Goias
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Goias
3:0
Jun 10, 2026 Serie B
Goias vs Novorizontino
0:4
Nov 16, 2025 Serie B
Goias vs Novorizontino
1:0
Jul 23, 2025 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Goias
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Serie B
Goias vs Novorizontino
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novorizontino Compare

Top Goalscorer Romulo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Goias Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novorizontino 50 / 100
Goias 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novorizontino Goias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novorizontino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Novorizontino stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Novorizontino scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Goias's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Novorizontino VS Goias
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Novorizontino

(Home)
01 Nov
Novorizontino
2 : 1
Operario-PR
24 Oct
Atletico GO
0 : 1
Novorizontino
18 Oct
Vila Nova FC
2 : 2
Novorizontino
12 Oct
Novorizontino
5 : 1
Ponte Preta
08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2
Novorizontino
Page 1 of 6

Goias

(Away)
02 Nov
Goias
2 : 1
CRB
27 Oct
Ceara
0 : 2
Goias
19 Oct
Goias
0 : 0
Nautico
11 Oct
Operario-PR
0 : 2
Goias
06 Oct
Goias
2 : 1
Athletic Club
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 36 16 14 6 43:31 62
6 CRB 36 16 7 13 54:51 55
7 Goias 36 16 7 13 38:41 55
8 Sport Recife 36 14 13 9 48:39 55
9 Atletico GO 36 14 13 9 42:33 55
10 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
11 Operario-PR 36 14 9 13 46:48 51
12 Botafogo SP 36 13 9 14 41:39 48
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Athletic Club 36 11 14 11 42:41 47
15 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
16 Ceara 36 11 10 15 38:46 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 36 8 8 20 45:54 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)