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Novy Bor vs FC Pencin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Liberecky KP
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Novy Bor host FC Pencin in the Liberecky KP. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Novy Bor at 1.93 goals for, 2.29 against; FC Pencin at 3.21 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor FC Pencin slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 3, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 2.81) point toward FC Pencin. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Novy Bor
15%
Draws
54%
FC Pencin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Pencin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Pencin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on FC Pencin taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Novy Bor Clean Sheet 10%
FC Pencin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novy Bor FC Pencin
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 20
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.93 3.21
Goals Conceded 2.29 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Liberecky KP
FC Pencin vs Novy Bor
1:1
Oct 28, 2025 Liberecky KP
Novy Bor vs FC Pencin
3:3
Apr 19, 2025 Liberecky KP
FC Pencin vs Novy Bor
6:0
Sep 21, 2024 Liberecky KP
Novy Bor vs FC Pencin
0:3
Apr 6, 2024 Liberecky KP
Novy Bor vs FC Pencin
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novy Bor 10 / 100
FC Pencin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novy Bor FC Pencin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Pencin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Novy Bor scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Novy Bor remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

FC Pencin let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Novy Bor VS FC Pencin
1.13 Goals Scored 3.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Novy Bor

(Home)
17 Oct
Novy Bor
1 : 3
Lomnice nad Popelkou
10 Oct
Visnova
1 : 1
Novy Bor
03 Oct
Novy Bor
3 : 2
Zelezny Brod
26 Sept
Jivan Bela
2 : 3
Novy Bor
19 Sept
Novy Bor
0 : 1
Hradek nad Nisou
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FC Pencin

(Away)
17 Oct
Straz pod Ralskem
0 : 4
FC Pencin
10 Oct
FC Pencin
7 : 1
Sluknov
04 Oct
Rozstani
3 : 1
FC Pencin
26 Sept
FC Pencin
6 : 1
Sokol Pencin
19 Sept
FK Ceska Lipa B
1 : 2
FC Pencin
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