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Novy Bor vs Lomnice nad Popelkou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Liberecky KP
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Novy Bor host Lomnice nad Popelkou in the Liberecky KP. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Novy Bor have averaged 2.07 scored and 2.34 conceded recently, against Lomnice nad Popelkou's 2 scored and 2.46 conceded. Head-to-head, Novy Bor have won 0 to Lomnice nad Popelkou's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 2.00) point toward Lomnice nad Popelkou. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Novy Bor
20%
Draws
40%
Lomnice nad Popelkou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Lomnice nad Popelkou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liberecky KP form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Novy Bor Clean Sheet 10%
Lomnice nad Popelkou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novy Bor Lomnice nad Popelkou
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.07 2
Goals Conceded 2.34 2.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Liberecky KP
Lomnice nad Popelkou vs Novy Bor
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liberecky KP
Novy Bor vs Lomnice nad Popelkou
3:3
Apr 5, 2025 Liberecky KP
Lomnice nad Popelkou vs Novy Bor
2:1
Sep 7, 2024 Liberecky KP
Novy Bor vs Lomnice nad Popelkou
1:1
Mar 23, 2024 Liberecky KP
Novy Bor vs Lomnice nad Popelkou
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novy Bor 29 / 100
Lomnice nad Popelkou 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novy Bor Lomnice nad Popelkou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novy Bor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novy Bor's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lomnice nad Popelkou has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Novy Bor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novy Bor VS Lomnice nad Popelkou
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Novy Bor

(Home)
03 Oct
Novy Bor
3 : 2
Zelezny Brod
26 Sept
Jivan Bela
2 : 3
Novy Bor
19 Sept
Novy Bor
0 : 1
Hradek nad Nisou
12 Sept
SK Vilemov
0 : 0
Novy Bor
05 Sept
Sedmihorky
3 : 1
Novy Bor
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Lomnice nad Popelkou

(Away)
03 Oct
Straz pod Ralskem
3 : 5
Lomnice nad Popelkou
26 Sept
Lomnice nad Popelkou
2 : 0
Sluknov
20 Sept
Rozstani
4 : 0
Lomnice nad Popelkou
12 Sept
Lomnice nad Popelkou
1 : 1
Sokol Pencin
05 Sept
FK Ceska Lipa B
3 : 2
Lomnice nad Popelkou
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