Sport Picks
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Jarocin
Poland
III Liga - Group II 2022/2023 
Match Events
46'
46'
Szewczyk F.
51'
51'
Kowalski M.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II 2022/2023 game between Nowe Skalmierzyce and Jarocin finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jarocin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nowe Skalmierzyce come out ahead of Jarocin on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Nowe Skalmierzyce's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular III Liga - Group II 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Nowe Skalmierzyce here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Nowe Skalmierzyce Clean Sheet 15%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nowe Skalmierzyce | Jarocin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 41 | 33 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 2.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 27, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Jarocin
1:1
Oct 29, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
0:1
Apr 30, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
0:3
Sep 25, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Jarocin
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nowe Skalmierzyce Compare
Top Goalscorer Szewczyk F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Jarocin Compare
Top Goalscorer Kowalski M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nowe Skalmierzyce 66 / 100
Jarocin 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nowe Skalmierzyce Jarocin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NOW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nowe Skalmierzyce scored in 76% of their last 41 games.
Jarocin has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Nowe Skalmierzyce has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nowe Skalmierzyce VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Nowe Skalmierzyce
(Home) 10 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 0 Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
23 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
3 : 0 Lech Poznan II
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
13 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 0 Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 9
23 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
3 : 0 Lech Poznan II
13 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 0 Blekitni Stargard
09 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
2 : 0 Lipno Steszew
19 Apr
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 0 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
04 Apr
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 1 Zawisza
Page 1 of 4
Jarocin
(Away) 27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0 Ostrovia Ostrow
24 Jul
Jarocin
0 : 8 Barycz Sulow
17 Jun
Jarocin
2 : 1 Starogard Gdanski
10 Jun
B. Gdynia
4 : 0 Jarocin
03 Jun
Jarocin
3 : 0 Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 7
10 Jun
B. Gdynia
4 : 0 Jarocin
27 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
1 : 1 Jarocin
24 May
Blekitni Stargard
2 : 2 Jarocin
14 May
Kleczew
7 : 1 Jarocin
28 Apr
Swit Szczecin
5 : 0 Jarocin
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ol. Grudziadz | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 73:18 | 76 |
| 2 | Pogon Szczecin II | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 69:25 | 69 |
| 3 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 75:54 | 64 |
| 4 | Zawisza | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 69:45 | 62 |
| 5 | Gedania Gdansk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 63:59 | 61 |
| 6 | Starogard Gdanski | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 44:35 | 59 |
| 7 | Swit Szczecin | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 61:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Nowe Skalmierzyce | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 51:46 | 54 |
| 9 | Kleczew | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 53:48 | 47 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:42 | 44 |
| 11 | Cartusia Kartuzy | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37:40 | 43 |
| 12 | Blekitni Stargard | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 46:45 | 42 |
| 13 | Stolem Gniewino | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:52 | 36 |
| 14 | Vineta Wolin | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 47:66 | 35 |
| 15 | Unia Solec Kujawski | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 40:59 | 35 |
| 16 | Jarocin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41:69 | 33 |
| 17 | B. Gdynia | 34 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 43:70 | 28 |
| 18 | Unia Janikowo | 34 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 17:85 | 10 |
| 19 | Przodkowo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)
