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Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Zawisza

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nowe Skalmierzyce play Zawisza in the III Liga - Group II 2025/2026. Zawisza are favorites here. Recently, Nowe Skalmierzyce averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. Zawisza averaged 2 goals scored and 0.66 conceded. In past meetings, Nowe Skalmierzyce won 0, Zawisza won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Nowe Skalmierzyce and 1.50 for Zawisza. This points to a Zawisza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Nowe Skalmierzyce
15%
Draws
59%
Zawisza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zawisza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nowe Skalmierzyce picked up more points recently compared to Zawisza.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Nowe Skalmierzyce Clean Sheet 16%
Zawisza Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nowe Skalmierzyce Zawisza
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 23
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.14 2
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Zawisza
0:1
Sep 12, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
3:0
May 21, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
3:2
Oct 26, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Zawisza
0:4
Apr 20, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nowe Skalmierzyce Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Zawisza Compare

Top Goalscorer Szumilas W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nowe Skalmierzyce 27 / 100
Zawisza 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nowe Skalmierzyce Zawisza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zawisza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Zawisza & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nowe Skalmierzyce attacking → ← attacking Zawisza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nowe Skalmierzyce scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Zawisza let in goals in 47% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Nowe Skalmierzyce went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Zawisza lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 73
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415