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Ntugasaze vs Bunyaruguru

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Ntugasaze Logo

Ntugasaze

2 - 1
FT
Bunyaruguru Logo

Bunyaruguru

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ntugasaze in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ntugasaze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ntugasaze
15%
Draws
57%
Bunyaruguru
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bunyaruguru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ntugasaze have won more games recently than Bunyaruguru.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ntugasaze Clean Sheet 20%
Bunyaruguru Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ntugasaze Bunyaruguru
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.35 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.03 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Bunyaruguru
2:1
Jan 8, 2026 Big League
Bunyaruguru vs Ntugasaze
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ntugasaze 32 / 100
Bunyaruguru 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ntugasaze Bunyaruguru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ntugasaze scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Bunyaruguru registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Bunyaruguru's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ntugasaze VS Bunyaruguru
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ntugasaze

(Home)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
Page 1 of 7

Bunyaruguru

(Away)
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Ntugasaze
2 : 1
Bunyaruguru
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
10 May
Wakiso Giants
3 : 2
Bunyaruguru
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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