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Ntugasaze vs Iganga United

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Big League 2025/2026 game between Ntugasaze and Iganga United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ntugasaze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ntugasaze
15%
Draws
65%
Iganga United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iganga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ntugasaze come out ahead of Iganga United on wins alone.
  • Model gives Iganga United a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ntugasaze Clean Sheet 20%
Iganga United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ntugasaze Iganga United
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Iganga United
2:0
Nov 27, 2025 Big League
Iganga United vs Ntugasaze
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ntugasaze 10 / 100
Iganga United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ntugasaze Iganga United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iganga United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ntugasaze's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Iganga United has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Ntugasaze has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ntugasaze VS Iganga United
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ntugasaze

(Home)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
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Iganga United

(Away)
27 Sept
Iganga United
1 : 0
Pakwach Young Stars
06 Jun
Mbale Heroes
2 : 6
Iganga United
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
10 May
Iganga United
1 : 1
Bright Stars
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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