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Ntugasaze vs Kaaro Karungi

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Ntugasaze Logo

Ntugasaze

0 - 0
FT
Kaaro Karungi Logo

Kaaro Karungi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ntugasaze
15%
Draws
69%
Kaaro Karungi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaaro Karungi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ntugasaze lately — more wins on the board than Kaaro Karungi.
  • Win probability leans Kaaro Karungi's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ntugasaze Clean Sheet 20%
Kaaro Karungi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ntugasaze Kaaro Karungi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.4 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Kaaro Karungi
0:0
Dec 18, 2025 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Ntugasaze
0:0
Jun 21, 2025 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Ntugasaze
6:3
Jan 19, 2025 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Kaaro Karungi
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ntugasaze 12 / 100
Kaaro Karungi 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ntugasaze Kaaro Karungi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaaro Karungi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Ntugasaze found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Kaaro Karungi let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Ntugasaze remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ntugasaze VS Kaaro Karungi
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ntugasaze

(Home)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
Page 1 of 6

Kaaro Karungi

(Away)
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
17 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Wakiso Giants
10 May
Ntugasaze
0 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
03 May
Kaaro Karungi
3 : 0
Kataka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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