Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Big League 2025/2026 game between Ntugasaze and Nebbi Central finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ntugasaze.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ntugasaze carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ntugasaze | Nebbi Central |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Ntugasaze's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Nebbi Central let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Difficult form: Nebbi Central registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ntugasaze
(Home)Nebbi Central
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacks Power | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 35:18 | 55 |
| 2 | Ntugasaze | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 42:22 | 53 |
| 3 | Kataka | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 40:26 | 51 |
| 4 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:22 | 51 |
| 5 | Paidha Black Angels | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 33:23 | 50 |
| 6 | Bunyaruguru | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 31:25 | 43 |
| 7 | Young Elephant | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 44:40 | 42 |
| 8 | Kiyinda Boys | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 40:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Iganga United | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 10 | Catda | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 24:32 | 37 |
| 11 | Kaaro Karungi | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 26:30 | 36 |
| 12 | Onduparaka | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 24:32 | 36 |
| 13 | Nebbi Central | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 35:42 | 34 |
| 14 | Bright Stars | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 25:31 | 32 |
| 15 | Wakiso Giants | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 31:48 | 31 |
| 16 | Mbale Heroes | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 14:67 | 17 |
