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Ntugasaze vs Paidha Black Angels

Uganda Uganda

Big League
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AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Ntugasaze and Paidha Black Angels finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ntugasaze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ntugasaze
39%
Draws
31%
Paidha Black Angels
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ntugasaze haven't matched Paidha Black Angels's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Ntugasaze Clean Sheet 68%
Paidha Black Angels Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ntugasaze Paidha Black Angels
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 11 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Paidha Black Angels
3:1
Nov 2, 2025 Big League
Paidha Black Angels vs Ntugasaze
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Paidha Black Angels
2:2
Oct 31, 2024 Big League
Paidha Black Angels vs Ntugasaze
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ntugasaze 41 / 100
Paidha Black Angels 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ntugasaze Paidha Black Angels

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NTU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Ntugasaze stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ntugasaze's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Paidha Black Angels let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ntugasaze VS Paidha Black Angels
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacks Power30167735:1855
2Ntugasaze301411542:2253
3Kataka301631140:2651
4Kigezi HomeBoyz30149736:2251
5Paidha Black Angels30157833:2350
6Bunyaruguru301271131:2543
7Young Elephant301261244:4042
8Kiyinda Boys301261240:3140
9Iganga United301151430:3338
10Catda309101124:3237
11Kaaro Karungi301081226:3036
12Onduparaka30991224:3236
13Nebbi Central30991235:4234
14Bright Stars307111225:3132
15Wakiso Giants30871531:4831
16Mbale Heroes30651914:6717