Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nublense vs Cobresal

Chile Chile

Copa de la Liga Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas, Chillán
Nublense Logo

Nublense

2 - 0
FT
Cobresal Logo

Cobresal

Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Valenzuela B.
15'
Sub
Contreras M. In: Sepulveda M.
Out: Contreras M.
17'
Leyton D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Nublense
20%
Draws
33%
Cobresal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nublense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Nublense have won more games recently than Cobresal.
  • Nublense are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Nublense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nublense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Nublense Clean Sheet 18%
Cobresal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nublense Cobresal
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 1.39 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Liga de Primera
Cobresal vs Nublense
0:1
May 3, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Nublense vs Cobresal
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Cobresal vs Nublense
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Liga de Primera
Nublense vs Cobresal
5:0
Jun 22, 2025 Liga de Primera
Cobresal vs Nublense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nublense Compare

Top Goalscorer Graciani G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Avalos G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Cobresal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nublense 36 / 100
Cobresal 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nublense Cobresal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nublense found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Cobresal has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Nublense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nublense VS Cobresal
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nublense

(Home)
30 Aug
Nublense
0 : 1
D. Concepcion
23 Aug
U. Catolica
1 : 2
Nublense
16 Aug
Nublense
2 : 1
Union La Calera
11 Aug
A. Italiano
2 : 2
Nublense
04 Aug
Nublense
1 : 0
Rangers
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Cobresal

(Away)
28 Aug
Cobresal
2 : 0
Palestino
23 Aug
La Serena
3 : 3
Cobresal
16 Aug
Cobresal
0 : 2
D. Concepcion
08 Aug
U. Catolica
2 : 0
Cobresal
01 Aug
Cobresal
4 : 0
Union La Calera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
2 Colo Colo 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 D. Concepcion 6 0 1 5 6:13 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 U. Catolica 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
4 Cobresal 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Higgins 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Everton 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 Limache 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Palestino 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union La Calera 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 A. Italiano 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 U. De Chile 6 2 2 2 12:7 8
4 La Serena 6 0 1 5 6:18 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)