Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nublense vs Everton

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas, Chillán
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nublense host Everton in the Liga de Primera. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Everton have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Nublense have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.35. Past meetings favor Nublense slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.56) back Nublense to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Nublense
15%
Draws
53%
Everton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Everton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Nublense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Everton are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Nublense Clean Sheet 15%
Everton Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nublense Everton
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.35 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Liga de Primera
Everton vs Nublense
0:0
Aug 3, 2025 Liga de Primera
Nublense vs Everton
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Liga de Primera
Everton vs Nublense
1:2
Aug 18, 2024 Liga de Primera
Nublense vs Everton
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 Liga de Primera
Everton vs Nublense
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nublense 11 / 100
Everton 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nublense Everton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Everton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nublense found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Everton let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Nublense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nublense VS Everton
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nublense

(Home)
06 Sept
La Serena
2 : 1
Nublense
03 Sept
Limache
2 : 0
Nublense
30 Aug
Nublense
0 : 1
D. Concepcion
23 Aug
U. Catolica
1 : 2
Nublense
16 Aug
Nublense
2 : 1
Union La Calera
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Everton

(Away)
05 Sept
Everton
0 : 1
U. Catolica
29 Aug
Limache
0 : 3
Everton
24 Aug
Everton
3 : 1
U. De Concepcion
16 Aug
Everton
1 : 1
A. Italiano
08 Aug
Huachipato
1 : 4
Everton
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 22 17 2 3 47:21 53
2 U. Catolica 22 12 3 7 47:31 39
3 U. De Chile 22 11 6 5 32:19 39
4 Palestino 22 11 3 8 34:30 36
5 Everton 22 9 6 7 34:24 33
6 Limache 22 10 3 9 43:34 33
7 Nublense 22 8 8 6 27:28 32
8 La Serena 22 7 9 6 34:35 30
9 D. Concepcion 22 9 3 10 24:25 30
10 Coquimbo 21 8 5 8 29:28 29
11 O Higgins 22 8 3 11 28:35 27
12 A. Italiano 22 6 7 9 25:31 25
13 Huachipato 21 7 4 10 29:39 25
14 U. De Concepcion 22 6 4 12 17:37 22
15 Cobresal 22 6 3 13 31:42 21
16 Union La Calera 22 3 5 14 18:40 14
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)