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Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Nueva Chicago, Buenos Aires
Mon, Oct 5, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nueva Chicago host Deportivo Maipu in the Primera Nacional. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Nueva Chicago at 0.76 goals for, 1 against; Deportivo Maipu at 1.21 for, 0.97 against. Past meetings favor Deportivo Maipu slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.75 - 1.19) back Deportivo Maipu to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Nueva Chicago
35%
Draws
30%
Deportivo Maipu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo Maipu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nueva Chicago are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Deportivo Maipu here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueva Chicago Deportivo Maipu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.76 1.21
Goals Conceded 1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago
1:0
Sep 25, 2022 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago
1:0
Oct 11, 2021 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago
0:2
Jun 17, 2021 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueva Chicago 46 / 100
Deportivo Maipu 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueva Chicago Deportivo Maipu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Maipu let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Nueva Chicago stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Nueva Chicago scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nueva Chicago VS Deportivo Maipu
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nueva Chicago

(Home)
27 Sept
Almagro
0 : 1
Nueva Chicago
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Patronato
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0
Quilmes
29 Aug
Midland
2 : 0
Nueva Chicago
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Deportivo Maipu

(Away)
27 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0
Temperley
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2
Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Patronato
29 Aug
Colegiales
1 : 0
Deportivo Maipu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 31 16 7 8 49:31 55
3 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
4 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
14 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
15 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
16 CA Mitre 31 6 14 11 27:39 32
17 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 31 15 12 4 32:15 57
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 31 15 9 7 47:38 54
3 Temperley 31 14 11 6 36:25 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)