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Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Nueva Chicago, Buenos Aires
Nueva Chicago Logo

Nueva Chicago

0 - 1
FT
Deportivo Maipu Logo

Deportivo Maipu

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Paz G. In: Ferracutti G.
Out: Paz G.
29'
Sub
Vega G. In: Perez M.
Out: Vega G.
30'
Gonzalez A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Nueva Chicago and Deportivo Maipu finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Maipu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Nueva Chicago
35%
Draws
37%
Deportivo Maipu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Maipu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo Maipu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Deportivo Maipu here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 20%
Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueva Chicago Deportivo Maipu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.69 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu
0:1
May 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago
1:0
Sep 25, 2022 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago
1:0
Oct 11, 2021 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago
0:2
Jun 17, 2021 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nueva Chicago Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Deportivo Maipu Compare

Top Goalscorer Gobetto J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueva Chicago 32 / 100
Deportivo Maipu 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueva Chicago Deportivo Maipu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Maipu let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Nueva Chicago stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Nueva Chicago scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nueva Chicago VS Deportivo Maipu
0.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nueva Chicago

(Home)
05 Oct
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Deportivo Maipu
27 Sept
Almagro
0 : 1
Nueva Chicago
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Patronato
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0
Quilmes
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Maipu

(Away)
05 Oct
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Deportivo Maipu
27 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0
Temperley
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2
Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Patronato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)