Sport Picks
Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Nueva Chicago, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
9'
9'
Ocampo T.
Assist: Perez M.
16'
16'
Romeo L.
46'
46'
Sub
Vega G. In: Martinez R.
Out: Vega G.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Nueva Chicago and Quilmes finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nueva Chicago.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nueva Chicago
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Quilmes carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 20%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nueva Chicago | Quilmes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.76 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 7, 2026 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Nueva Chicago
0:0
Nov 16, 2024 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Nueva Chicago
0:0
Oct 3, 2022 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nueva Chicago Compare
Top Goalscorer Ocampo T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Quilmes Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nueva Chicago 32 / 100
Quilmes 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nueva Chicago Quilmes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Quilmes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Nueva Chicago stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: Quilmes has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Nueva Chicago scored in 48% of their last 29 games.
Quilmes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Nueva Chicago VS Quilmes
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Nueva Chicago
(Home) 27 Sept
Almagro
0 : 1 Nueva Chicago
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1 Patronato
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0 Nueva Chicago
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0 Quilmes
29 Aug
Midland
2 : 0 Nueva Chicago
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1 Patronato
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0 Quilmes
22 Aug
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
01 Aug
Nueva Chicago
2 : 1 San Martin T.
17 Jul
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1 Agropecuario
Page 1 of 3
Quilmes
(Away) 26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0 Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0 Quilmes
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0 San Martin S.J.
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0 Quilmes
30 Aug
Quilmes
0 : 1 Temperley
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0 Quilmes
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0 Quilmes
23 Aug
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0 Quilmes
01 Aug
Patronato
3 : 3 Quilmes
12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Quilmes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 36:25 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 49:31 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 40:28 | 53 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 44:28 | 50 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 38:25 | 49 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 23:18 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 29:26 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 26:28 | 42 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 24:21 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 23:27 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:38 | 36 |
| 13 | San Telmo | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 25:34 | 34 |
| 14 | All Boys | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 17:26 | 33 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19:28 | 32 |
| 16 | CA Mitre | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25:36 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 22:34 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 32:15 | 57 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 47:38 | 54 |
| 3 | Temperley | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36:25 | 53 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 35:28 | 52 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 32:27 | 48 |
| 6 | Midland | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 34:26 | 47 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J. | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 45 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 38:31 | 44 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 31:31 | 43 |
| 10 | Atl. Rafaela | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 25:27 | 42 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 34:32 | 40 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 30:27 | 38 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 23:29 | 36 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 26:35 | 36 |
| 15 | Almagro | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 26:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Patronato | 31 | 6 | 16 | 9 | 27:31 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 23:33 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 23:53 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
