Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nueva Cliza vs Nacional Sucre

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Simon Bolivar tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nueva Cliza
6%
Draws
4%
Nacional Sucre
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nueva Cliza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nueva Cliza lately — more wins on the board than Nacional Sucre.
  • Nueva Cliza are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Nueva Cliza have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Nueva Cliza Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional Sucre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueva Cliza Nacional Sucre
Matches Played 28 20
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Nueva Cliza vs Nacional Sucre
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Nacional Sucre vs Nueva Cliza
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueva Cliza 85 / 100
Nacional Sucre 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueva Cliza Nacional Sucre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Sucre has conceded goals in 85% of their last 20 outings.

Nueva Cliza scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Nueva Cliza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nueva Cliza VS Nacional Sucre
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nueva Cliza

(Home)
09 Nov
San Juan FC
3 : 0
Nueva Cliza
01 Nov
Nueva Cliza
1 : 1
San Juan FC
25 Oct
Municipal de Tarija
0 : 3
Nueva Cliza
11 Oct
Nueva Cliza
3 : 1
Municipal de Tarija
27 Sept
Nueva Cliza
0 : 0
Nacional Sucre
Page 1 of 6

Nacional Sucre

(Away)
27 Sept
Nueva Cliza
0 : 0
Nacional Sucre
21 Sept
Torre Fuerte
2 : 1
Nacional Sucre
15 Sept
Nacional Sucre
2 : 4
Real Potosi
06 Sept
Nacional Sucre
3 : 2
Torre Fuerte
31 Aug
Real Potosi
2 : 0
Nacional Sucre
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz650118:515
2Rio San Juan641111:613
3Fancesa621316:137
4C.A. Chocorosi60063:240
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
11 de Mayo650111:215
2CD Guadalajara63037:89
3Central Union62048:96
4Ingenieros62045:126
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi632110:511
2Torre Fuerte63039:99
3Nueva Cliza62317:79
4Nacional Sucre61147:124
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Juan FC632112:511
2Olympic FC62319:39
3CD Ingenio62229:118
4Chaco FC60337:183
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Sucre660026:518
2Deportivo Shalon620419:126
3Libertad FC62046:146
43 de Febrero62046:266
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tiquipaya651018:516
2Municipal de Tarija631216:910
3Pucarani630311:69
4Universitario de Pando60066:310
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams