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Nueve de Octubre vs Atletico FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer, Guayaquil
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Match Events

29' Event
Godoy W.
45' Event
Penalty Missed
59' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Nueve de Octubre and Atletico FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Nueve de Octubre
15%
Draws
58%
Atletico FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueve de Octubre Atletico FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 11 12
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.14 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs Atletico FC
0:1
Sep 4, 2026 Serie B
Atletico FC vs Nueve de Octubre
2:2
Jun 3, 2026 Serie B
Atletico FC vs Nueve de Octubre
0:0
Apr 4, 2026 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs Atletico FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nueve de Octubre Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Atletico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Godoy W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueve de Octubre 36 / 100
Atletico FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueve de Octubre Atletico FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Nueve de Octubre stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Nueve de Octubre scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Atletico FC has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nueve de Octubre VS Atletico FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nueve de Octubre

(Home)
08 Oct
Independiente Juniors
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
03 Oct
Nueve de Octubre
0 : 1
Atletico FC
26 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 0
San Antonio
17 Sept
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
12 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 1
Independiente Juniors
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Atletico FC

(Away)
08 Oct
Atletico FC
2 : 1
San Antonio
03 Oct
Nueve de Octubre
0 : 1
Atletico FC
24 Sept
Atletico FC
2 : 0
CD Cuenca Juniors
17 Sept
Independiente Juniors
1 : 1
Atletico FC
10 Sept
San Antonio
0 : 3
Atletico FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico FC 29 13 13 3 36:19 52
2 Independiente Juniors 29 13 11 5 36:23 50
3 Vinotinto 29 13 9 7 37:22 48
4 Nueve de Octubre 29 11 12 6 31:21 45
5 CD Cuenca Juniors 29 10 9 10 23:32 39
6 San Antonio 29 7 12 10 27:34 33
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