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Nueve de Octubre vs CD Cuenca Juniors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer, Guayaquil
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nueve de Octubre host CD Cuenca Juniors in the Serie B. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. CD Cuenca Juniors have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Nueve de Octubre have conceded 0.72 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor CD Cuenca Juniors slightly — 0-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 28, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.25 - 0.69) back Nueve de Octubre to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nueve de Octubre
20%
Draws
29%
CD Cuenca Juniors
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nueve de Octubre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Nueve de Octubre carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nueve de Octubre's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 20%
CD Cuenca Juniors Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueve de Octubre CD Cuenca Juniors
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.14 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Serie B
CD Cuenca Juniors vs Nueve de Octubre
1:1
May 30, 2026 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs CD Cuenca Juniors
3:3
Mar 27, 2026 Serie B
CD Cuenca Juniors vs Nueve de Octubre
0:0
Oct 22, 2025 Copa Ecuador
CD Cuenca Juniors vs Nueve de Octubre
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueve de Octubre 85 / 100
CD Cuenca Juniors 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueve de Octubre CD Cuenca Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nueve de Octubre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Cuenca Juniors conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Nueve de Octubre remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

CD Cuenca Juniors lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nueve de Octubre VS CD Cuenca Juniors
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nueve de Octubre

(Home)
03 Oct
Nueve de Octubre
0 : 1
Atletico FC
26 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 0
San Antonio
17 Sept
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
12 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 1
Independiente Juniors
04 Sept
Atletico FC
2 : 2
Nueve de Octubre
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CD Cuenca Juniors

(Away)
07 Oct
Vinotinto
1 : 1
CD Cuenca Juniors
02 Oct
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 2
Independiente Juniors
24 Sept
Atletico FC
2 : 0
CD Cuenca Juniors
16 Sept
CD Cuenca Juniors
1 : 0
San Antonio
11 Sept
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 2
Vinotinto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico FC 29 13 13 3 36:19 52
2 Independiente Juniors 29 13 11 5 36:23 50
3 Vinotinto 29 13 9 7 37:22 48
4 Nueve de Octubre 29 11 12 6 31:21 45
5 CD Cuenca Juniors 29 10 9 10 23:32 39
6 San Antonio 29 7 12 10 27:34 33
Promotion - Liga Pro 2027 (First stage)