Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nueve de Octubre vs San Antonio

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Gonzalez D.
52' Event
Renteria Z.

AI Match Summary

Nueve de Octubre host San Antonio in the Serie B. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Nueve de Octubre at 1.25 goals for, 0.88 against; San Antonio at 0.88 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor Nueve de Octubre slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.88, favoring Nueve de Octubre. Nueve de Octubre in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nueve de Octubre
33%
Draws
27%
San Antonio
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nueve de Octubre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Nueve de Octubre has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to San Antonio.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Nueve de Octubre.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie B provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 68%
San Antonio Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueve de Octubre San Antonio
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 9 12
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs San Antonio
2:0
Sep 30, 2025 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs San Antonio
1:1
Sep 2, 2025 Serie B
San Antonio vs Nueve de Octubre
2:2
Jul 25, 2025 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs San Antonio
1:0
May 16, 2025 Serie B
San Antonio vs Nueve de Octubre
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nueve de Octubre Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Renteria Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

San Antonio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueve de Octubre 50 / 100
San Antonio 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueve de Octubre San Antonio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nueve de Octubre scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

San Antonio let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Nueve de Octubre went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

San Antonio lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nueve de Octubre VS San Antonio
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1585219:1129
2Atletico FC1568117:1226
3CD Cuenca Juniors1675418:1826
4Independiente Juniors1566317:1124
5Cumbaya1656519:1621
6Vinotinto1555520:1320
7San Antonio1547418:1519
8LDU Portoviejo1654714:2019
9Dep. Santo Domingo1556412:1018
10Gualaceo1565413:1017
1122 de Julio153398:216
12EL Nacional1604129:271