Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nueve de Octubre vs San Antonio

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer, Guayaquil
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nueve de Octubre host San Antonio in the Serie B. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. San Antonio have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Nueve de Octubre have conceded 0.72 and scored 1.28. Past meetings favor Nueve de Octubre slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 20, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.81, favoring Nueve de Octubre. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Nueve de Octubre
35%
Draws
16%
San Antonio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nueve de Octubre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • San Antonio haven't matched Nueve de Octubre's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nueve de Octubre's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 20%
San Antonio Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueve de Octubre San Antonio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 12 11
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Serie B
San Antonio vs Nueve de Octubre
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs San Antonio
2:0
Sep 30, 2025 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs San Antonio
1:1
Sep 2, 2025 Serie B
San Antonio vs Nueve de Octubre
2:2
Jul 25, 2025 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs San Antonio
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueve de Octubre 85 / 100
San Antonio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueve de Octubre San Antonio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nueve de Octubre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nueve de Octubre found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: San Antonio conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Nueve de Octubre has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nueve de Octubre VS San Antonio
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nueve de Octubre

(Home)
17 Sept
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
12 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 1
Independiente Juniors
04 Sept
Atletico FC
2 : 2
Nueve de Octubre
28 Aug
CD Cuenca Juniors
1 : 1
Nueve de Octubre
20 Aug
San Antonio
0 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
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San Antonio

(Away)
16 Sept
CD Cuenca Juniors
1 : 0
San Antonio
10 Sept
San Antonio
0 : 3
Atletico FC
03 Sept
Vinotinto
4 : 2
San Antonio
27 Aug
San Antonio
0 : 0
Independiente Juniors
20 Aug
San Antonio
0 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 26 11 11 4 31:20 44
2 Vinotinto 26 12 7 7 33:19 43
3 Atletico FC 26 10 13 3 31:18 43
4 Nueve de Octubre 26 10 12 4 28:19 42
5 CD Cuenca Juniors 26 10 8 8 22:27 38
6 San Antonio 26 7 11 8 26:29 32
Promotion - Liga Pro 2027 (First stage)