Sport Picks
Nueve de Octubre vs Vinotinto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ecuador
Serie B Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer, Guayaquil 
AI Match Summary
Nueve de Octubre host Vinotinto in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Nueve de Octubre have averaged 1.14 scored and 0.76 conceded recently, against Vinotinto's 1.3 scored and 0.87 conceded. Head-to-head, Nueve de Octubre have won 3 to Vinotinto's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 17, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.31) point toward Vinotinto. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Vinotinto come out ahead of Nueve de Octubre on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nueve de Octubre | Vinotinto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Vinotinto has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Attacking prowess: Nueve de Octubre scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Nueve de Octubre has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Nueve de Octubre
(Home)Vinotinto
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico FC | 29 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 36:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Independiente Juniors | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 36:23 | 50 |
| 3 | Vinotinto | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37:22 | 48 |
| 4 | Nueve de Octubre | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 31:21 | 45 |
| 5 | CD Cuenca Juniors | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 23:32 | 39 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 27:34 | 33 |
