Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Numancia B vs CD Cebrerena

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Numancia B in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Numancia B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Numancia B
20%
Draws
73%
CD Cebrerena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Cebrerena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Cebrerena lately — more wins on the board than Numancia B.
  • Model gives CD Cebrerena a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Numancia B here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Numancia B Clean Sheet 18%
CD Cebrerena Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Numancia B CD Cebrerena
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.91 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs CD Cebrerena
3:1
Dec 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Cebrerena vs Numancia B
1:3
May 19, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Cebrerena vs Numancia B
2:3
Dec 22, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs CD Cebrerena
2:0
Jan 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs CD Cebrerena
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Numancia B 10 / 100
CD Cebrerena 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Numancia B CD Cebrerena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

CD Cebrerena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Numancia B found the back of the net in 44% of recent matches (32 games).

Numancia B went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Numancia B VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Numancia B

(Home)
10 May
Unionistas de Salamanca B
1 : 0
Numancia B
02 May
Numancia B
0 : 2
Guijuelo
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0
Numancia B
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1
CD Mojados
11 Apr
Almazan
5 : 0
Numancia B
Page 1 of 7

CD Cebrerena

(Away)
20 Jun
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1
CD Cebrerena
13 Jun
CD Cebrerena
2 : 0
Penaranda de Bracamonte
06 Jun
Becerril
0 : 1
CD Cebrerena
23 May
La Baneza
0 : 1
CD Cebrerena
16 May
CD Cebrerena
0 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palencia CA 20 14 2 4 29:11 44
2 Atletico Astorga 20 10 5 5 26:11 35
3 Leonesa B 20 9 8 3 25:18 35
4 La Virgen 20 8 7 5 22:18 31
5 Atletico Tordesillas 20 7 5 8 21:22 26
6 Bembibre 20 6 8 6 17:20 26
7 La Baneza 20 6 7 7 23:23 25
8 Salamanca CF UDS B 20 4 10 6 17:26 22
9 Santa Marta Tormes 20 5 6 9 14:17 21
10 Penaranda de Bracamonte 20 4 4 12 13:28 16
11 Becerril 20 3 6 11 10:23 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastica Segoviana 22 18 3 1 54:10 57
2 Burgos CF B 22 11 7 4 33:15 40
3 Numancia B 22 12 3 7 40:34 39
4 Arandina 22 10 6 6 41:31 36
5 Mirandes B 22 8 9 5 30:21 33
6 Real Avila 22 9 4 9 25:23 31
7 Almazan 22 9 4 9 26:31 31
8 Colegios Diocesanos 22 7 2 13 19:42 23
9 La Granja 22 6 4 12 24:30 22
10 Real Burgos CF 22 4 7 11 18:37 19
11 CD Cebrerena 22 5 4 13 18:36 19
12 Bupolsa 22 4 5 13 17:35 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)