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Numancia B vs Colegios Diocesanos Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Nogal S.
33' Event
Gonzalez M.
42'
Gonzalez B.

AI Match Summary

Numancia B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Numancia B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Numancia B
20%
Draws
40%
Colegios Diocesanos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Numancia B haven't matched Colegios Diocesanos's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Numancia B Clean Sheet 16%
Colegios Diocesanos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Numancia B Colegios Diocesanos
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.77 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Colegios Diocesanos
6:1
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Numancia B
2:2
Jan 22, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Numancia B
2:2
Sep 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Colegios Diocesanos
2:0
Feb 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Colegios Diocesanos
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Numancia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Minana O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Colegios Diocesanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Nogal S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Numancia B 36 / 100
Colegios Diocesanos 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Numancia B Colegios Diocesanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colegios Diocesanos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colegios Diocesanos has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Colegios Diocesanos has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Numancia B scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Numancia B VS Colegios Diocesanos
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Numancia B

(Home)
10 May
Unionistas de Salamanca B
1 : 0
Numancia B
02 May
Numancia B
0 : 2
Guijuelo
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0
Numancia B
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1
CD Mojados
11 Apr
Almazan
5 : 0
Numancia B
Page 1 of 6

Colegios Diocesanos

(Away)
27 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 1
Almazan
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
12 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
0 : 3
Burgos CF B
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
10 May
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 2
Palencia CA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)