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Numancia B vs Guijuelo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Martin A.
(Penalty)
87' Event
Nieto S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Numancia B and Guijuelo finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guijuelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Numancia B
20%
Draws
40%
Guijuelo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guijuelo come out ahead of Numancia B on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Guijuelo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Guijuelo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Numancia B Clean Sheet 10%
Guijuelo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Numancia B Guijuelo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.77 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.47 2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Guijuelo
0:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Guijuelo vs Numancia B
3:0
Mar 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Guijuelo vs Numancia B
1:0
Nov 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Guijuelo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Numancia B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.36
Avg xA / game 0.23

Guijuelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Nieto S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.29

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Numancia B 26 / 100
Guijuelo 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Numancia B Guijuelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guijuelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guijuelo let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Guijuelo's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Numancia B scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Numancia B VS Guijuelo
0.2 Goals Scored 2.25
2.4 Goals Conceded 0.75
80% Over 1.5 100%
40% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Numancia B

(Home)
10 May
Unionistas de Salamanca B
1 : 0
Numancia B
02 May
Numancia B
0 : 2
Guijuelo
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0
Numancia B
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1
CD Mojados
11 Apr
Almazan
5 : 0
Numancia B
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Guijuelo

(Away)
06 Sept
Calasanz de Soria
1 : 0
Guijuelo
22 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca B
4 : 1
Guijuelo
19 Aug
Guijuelo
1 : 2
Ribert
15 Aug
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 1
Guijuelo
21 Jun
Tamaraceite
2 : 0
Guijuelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)