Sport Picks
Numancia B vs Leonesa B Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 
Match Events
26'
26'
Dominguez R.
60'
60'
Godson C.
(Penalty)
65'
65'
Garcia I.
AI Match Summary
Numancia B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Numancia B.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
20%
73%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leonesa B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Leonesa B lately — more wins on the board than Numancia B.
- Model gives Leonesa B a 73% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Numancia B Clean Sheet 12%
Leonesa B Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Numancia B | Leonesa B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 20 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Numancia B
3:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Leonesa B
2:1
Jan 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Leonesa B
2:0
Sep 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Numancia B
3:1
Apr 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Leonesa B
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Numancia B Compare
Top Goalscorer Dominguez R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Leonesa B Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Numancia B 10 / 100
Leonesa B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Numancia B Leonesa B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leonesa B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Numancia B's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Leonesa B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.
Numancia B went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Numancia B VS Leonesa B
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Numancia B
(Home) 10 May
Unionistas de Salamanca B
1 : 0 Numancia B
02 May
Numancia B
0 : 2 Guijuelo
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0 Numancia B
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1 CD Mojados
11 Apr
Almazan
5 : 0 Numancia B
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Numancia B
0 : 2 Guijuelo
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1 CD Mojados
05 Apr
Numancia B
2 : 3 Palencia CF
02 Apr
Numancia B
6 : 1 Colegios Diocesanos
21 Mar
Numancia B
0 : 2 Arandina
Page 1 of 3
Leonesa B
(Away) 27 Sept
Leonesa B
0 : 0 Burgos CF B
20 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 1 Leonesa B
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1 Leonesa B
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
14 Aug
Gijon B
3 : 0 Leonesa B
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 1 Leonesa B
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1 Leonesa B
14 Aug
Gijon B
3 : 0 Leonesa B
12 Aug
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1 Leonesa B
02 May
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 2 Leonesa B
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
