Sport Picks
Numancia B vs Palencia CF Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 
Match Events
1'
1'
Hernandez I.
40'
40'
Hernandez I.
42'
42'
Neves A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Numancia B and Palencia CF finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palencia CF.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
15%
76%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palencia CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Palencia CF come out ahead of Numancia B on wins alone.
- Palencia CF are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Palencia CF have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Numancia B Clean Sheet 12%
Palencia CF Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Numancia B | Palencia CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 20 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Palencia CF
2:3
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Numancia B
2:0
Apr 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Numancia B
3:2
Jan 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Palencia CF
2:3
Apr 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Palencia CF
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Numancia B Compare
Top Goalscorer Neves A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Minana O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Palencia CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez I.
2 Goals Assists Leader Martinez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Numancia B 10 / 100
Palencia CF 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Numancia B Palencia CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Palencia CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Palencia CF let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Numancia B scored in 40% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: Numancia B stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Numancia B VS Palencia CF
0.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Numancia B
(Home) 10 May
Unionistas de Salamanca B
1 : 0 Numancia B
02 May
Numancia B
0 : 2 Guijuelo
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0 Numancia B
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1 CD Mojados
11 Apr
Almazan
5 : 0 Numancia B
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Numancia B
0 : 2 Guijuelo
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1 CD Mojados
05 Apr
Numancia B
2 : 3 Palencia CF
02 Apr
Numancia B
6 : 1 Colegios Diocesanos
21 Mar
Numancia B
0 : 2 Arandina
Page 1 of 3
Palencia CF
(Away) 27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0 Palencia CF
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1 Leonesa B
06 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 2 Palencia CF
29 Aug
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1 Palencia CF
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0 Palencia CF
06 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 2 Palencia CF
29 Aug
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1 Palencia CF
08 Aug
Gijon B
1 : 1 Palencia CF
07 Jun
Guijuelo
1 : 2 Palencia CF
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
